Morning Setup: 12 New Picks in a Bear Regime
Stoptions.ai published 12 new setups at 9:45 AM ET on June 24 against a backdrop of SPY in BEAR regime and Fear & Greed at 27. The highest-scored entry was TEX at 80/100 with a 47% win probability, entry $67.61, stop $64.58, and target $73.02. KBH followed at 74/100 (42% win prob, entry $57, stop $55.25, target $61.56), and ALGM at 72/100 (42% win prob, entry $55.52, stop $50.14, target $59.96). Lower-confidence picks included AJG at 55/100 and UBSI at 53/100. The full slate ranged from 53 to 80 on the scoring scale, with win probabilities clustering between 42% and 52%. See the Morning Brief for the complete setup list.
Today's Closes: 13 Wins, 8 Losses
Of 21 positions closed today, 13 were winners and 8 were losers. The standout performers were options trades: NTRA returned 449.3%, TEX returned 268.4%, and AJG returned 145.5%—all exited via target premium. KBH options added 142.6% (entered 2026-06-23). Stock winners included KBH at 18%, GLW at 9.2%, NTRA at 8.4%, AFRM at 8.5%, DAL at 8.1%, AAL at 8.1%, and KBH again at 8.2% (separate entry). On the loss side, 10 positions were stopped out: PAYX and JBL (options) fell 35.6% and 41.2% respectively via stop premium; AVT, HOOD, TLN, MRVL, CIFR, INTC, JEF, and ASH (all stocks) ranged from 2% to 13.6% losses via stop. Check live results for the full close log.
Running Record: 620 Trades, 42.7% Win Rate
Over the trailing 365 days, the algorithm has closed 620 trades with a 42.7% win rate (expired contracts counted as losses), a profit factor of 2.99, and an average return per trade of 27.8% (outliers capped at ±150%). Average winners have returned 100.4%; average losers have cost 23.8%. Today's mix of outsized options wins and routine stock stops is consistent with the system's longer-term profile: high-variance individual trades, positive expectancy in aggregate. No aged positions were cleared today.
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Every setup above was published at 9:45 AM ET — before the market opened — and logged to the same database that powers our live results. Expired contracts are booked as full losses and outlier wins are capped in our averages, so the published stats are a floor, not a highlight reel. Want tomorrow's setups in your inbox before the bell? That's the Morning Brief.
*Stoptions.ai is an algorithmic decision-support tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*