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Not financial advice. Algo-generated setups are not personalised investment advice. Options trading involves significant risk of loss — past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Stoptions.ai›Tickers›Information Technology›STX
Information Technology

STXInformation Technology sectorStock and Options Trade Setup — Seagate Technology Holdings plc

STX logoNasdaq · Technology (Data Storage — HDD) · High-liquidity options · Mid-large cap · ~$22B

Last updated: Wednesday, May 20, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
↻ Next update: Saturday, July 4, 2026 · 9:31 AM ET
▲ Watchlist setupTechnologyAI StorageHDDHigh risk↑ Score 0 vs last update
66
Amora Edge Score
66
Top 40%
↑ +0 vs last update
Composite of EMA, RSI, RS vs SPY & volume · updated every 72h
50%
STX Win Rate
50%
1 of 2 STX setups resolved as WIN in 2026
Tracks completed Stoptions setups on this ticker since Jan 2026
+94.8%
STX Avg Return
+94.8%
Blended avg return across all 2 closed setups (wins & losses)
Blended avg return per closed setup (wins & losses) in 2026
Why we cover STX

Seagate is a direct beneficiary of two reinforcing AI data center dynamics: surging mass storage demand as hyperscalers scale generative AI training datasets and inference workloads (every model training run requires petabytes of training corpus retention), and the HAMR technology transition that adds meaningful incremental pricing power. HAMR (heat-assisted magnetic recording) drives are launching commercially with capacity points (30TB+) that no competing technology can match at price/GB, locking in hyperscaler design wins for the next 2-3 years. The HDD industry duopoly structure (Seagate + Western Digital) has produced rare pricing discipline, with both vendors raising ASPs as nearline demand outpaces supply. Operating leverage is meaningful — gross margin has expanded from the 2024 trough. Capital return has been disciplined with consistent buybacks. Risk profile remains moderate-to-high, tied to AI capex cycle timing and SSD-vs-HDD substitution dynamics. Options are highly liquid with elevated IVR.

Real Results

Last 2 STX Setups — Logged & Resolved

The most recent setups the scanner delivered for STX — logged at delivery, resolved when stop or target was hit.

Apr 7
options
Conviction
70
Entry
$448.99
Exit
$585.90
Days Held
15
Return
+196.5%
Target Hit
Jun 26
stocks
Conviction
108
Entry
$992.40
Exit
$923.28
Days Held
0
Return
-7%
Stopped Out

Score History & Signal Changelog

● Live data

This page is updated every 72 hours with the latest Scan results. Each data point below represents one complete algorithmic snapshot in time.

Score progression · last 4 scans (~12 days)
Solid = composite · dashed = components
Signal Changelog
DateUpdateScoreDeltaKey change
Apr 7Score update83+0Score holding steady
Apr 8Algorithmic pick49-34Score cooling — monitor closely
May 19Score update66+17Score accelerating — momentum building
May 20Score update66+0Score holding steady

Signal Breakdown

EMA Cross
Holding
20/25
RSI Zone
Holding
17/25
RS vs SPY
Holding
17/25
Volume Surge
Holding
13/25

Today's Trade Card

Setup
STX $110 CALL
Expires Jun 20, 2026
Premium
$4.60
Target
+80% premium
Stop loss
-50% premium
Breakeven
$114.6
Win prob.
52%
Sizing: Risk <= 0.75% of account (high beta, cycle-sensitive)
Greeks
Delta
0.43
Theta
-0.08
IVR
46%
IVR class
Medium
Loading…

Options Profile

Avg IV (30d)
46%
IVR range (52-wk)
24-90%
Put/call ratio
0.62
Avg daily vol.
18K contracts
Open interest
240K contracts
Next earnings
Jul 22, 2026 (est.)

Risks & Fundamentals

Every setup carries risk. Here's what could move STX against you, plus the key stats that frame any position.

Beta
1.6
Market cap
~$22B
Risk level
High risk
Next earnings
Jul 22, 2026 (est.)
Key risks to monitor
  • 1.AI capex digestion phase compressing nearline HDD shipment growth
  • 2.SSD pricing dropping faster than expected, accelerating substitution at the margin
  • 3.HAMR yield issues delaying high-capacity drive volume ramp
These are real risks to the long thesis, not a recommendation to short. Stoptions setups are short-dated and stop-protected; size accordingly.

STX Options Setup — Frequently Asked Questions

Is STX a good options trade today?+

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) currently has an Amora Edge Score of 66/100, ranking it top 40%. This composite score is built from four sub-signals — EMA cross, RSI zone, relative strength vs SPY, and volume surge — each scored 0–25. The current read is a watchlist setup, so the algorithm is positioned bullish (calls / call debit spreads). A score above 65 typically warrants a trade card with stop and target; below that, the setup is on the watchlist but not actionable.

What is STX's win rate on Stoptions.ai setups?+

STX's historical win rate on closed Stoptions setups is 50%. Win rate is calculated as the percentage of past STX trade cards that hit their target price before stopping out. Win rate is most meaningful once a ticker has 10+ closed trades — individual ticker rates can be noisy at smaller samples. Our portfolio-wide win rate across all closed trades is the more stable benchmark.

What strike and expiry does Stoptions.ai suggest for STX?+

The strike and expiry are shown on the trade card at the top of this page when the setup is active. Stoptions.ai algorithmically selects strikes targeting delta 0.35–0.45 and expirations 30–45 days out, adjusted for current implied volatility rank (IVR). When IVR is high, the system favors call debit spreads to limit vega risk; when IVR is low, single-leg long calls are preferred. The card includes the contract symbol, mid-price entry, stop, and target.

How often is the STX setup updated?+

Every 72 hours we refresh STX's Amora Edge Score and trade card. The underlying scan runs daily at 9:00 AM ET (pre-market) and 9:30 AM ET (post-open), so any new signal change is reflected within one trading session. If STX drops below the entry threshold or the regime shifts (e.g., SPY enters a confirmed bear), the trade card is replaced with a "no setup" notice automatically.

What does the Amora Edge Score measure for STX?+

The Amora Edge Score is a 0–100 composite of four technical sub-signals applied to STX: (1) EMA cross — is the 20-day above the 50-day with both trending up? (2) RSI zone — is momentum in the 50–70 sweet spot, or extended/weak? (3) Relative strength vs SPY — is STX outperforming the market over 20 sessions? (4) Volume surge — is participation above the 20-day average? Each sub-signal contributes 0–25 points. STX currently scores 66.

How does STX compare to other Technology (Data Storage — HDD) setups?+

STX's sector rank and percentile against other Technology (Data Storage — HDD) tickers we track is shown on the /tickers index — sortable by Amora Edge Score, win rate, or sector. For direct comparison, see the "Related Technology (Data Storage — HDD) Options Setups" panel above. When multiple tickers in the same sector are scoring 80+, the algorithm flags the cluster as a sector rotation signal and may upweight position sizing.

Educational content only — not personalized investment advice. Options carry substantial risk.

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